Plausible vs. Probable

Attribute	Plausible	Probable
Likelihood	Could happen	More likely to happen
Evidence	May have some supporting evidence	Supported by evidence
Possibility	Possible but uncertain	Highly likely to occur
Believability	Could be believed	Generally believed

Definition

Plausible and probable are two terms that are often used interchangeably, but they actually have distinct meanings. Plausible refers to something that is believable or credible, while probable refers to something that is likely to happen or be true. In other words, plausible suggests that something could happen or be true, while probable suggests that something is likely to happen or be true.

Usage

Plausible is often used when discussing hypothetical scenarios or ideas that could potentially happen. For example, a detective might consider various plausible explanations for a crime before determining which one is most likely. On the other hand, probable is used when discussing events or outcomes that are likely to occur based on available evidence or information. For instance, a weather forecaster might predict that it is probable that it will rain tomorrow based on current weather patterns.

Certainty

One key difference between plausible and probable is the level of certainty they imply. Plausible suggests a lower level of certainty, as something that is plausible may or may not actually happen or be true. On the other hand, probable suggests a higher level of certainty, as something that is probable is more likely to happen or be true based on available evidence.

Evidence

When determining whether something is plausible or probable, evidence plays a crucial role. Plausible scenarios may be based on limited evidence or speculation, while probable outcomes are typically supported by strong evidence or data. For example, a scientist might propose a plausible hypothesis based on limited research, but it would only become probable once more evidence is gathered to support it.

Decision Making

Plausible and probable are both important concepts in decision making. When faced with multiple options, it is important to consider both plausible and probable outcomes. Plausible options may offer creative solutions or new perspectives, while probable options are more likely to lead to successful outcomes based on past experiences or data.

Risk Assessment

When assessing risk, understanding the difference between plausible and probable outcomes is crucial. Plausible risks may be unlikely to occur but could have significant consequences if they do, while probable risks are more likely to occur but may have less severe consequences. By considering both plausible and probable risks, individuals and organizations can make more informed decisions and take appropriate actions to mitigate potential negative outcomes.

Conclusion

In conclusion, while plausible and probable are often used interchangeably, they have distinct meanings and implications. Plausible refers to something that is believable or credible, while probable refers to something that is likely to happen or be true. Understanding the difference between plausible and probable is important in decision making, risk assessment, and problem-solving. By considering both plausible and probable outcomes, individuals and organizations can make more informed choices and increase their chances of success.